Who will win Sanremo 2026? Odds and polls updated after the televoting.
The entrance of televoting (50%) together with the vote of the Radio Jury (50%) changes the balance of the Sanremo Festival 2026. After the second evening and on the eve of the third, the hierarchies among the favourites are no longer the same: the bookmakers update the live odds on the winner of Sanremo 2026 and record a significant overtaking.
Fedez & Masini are the new favorites
The couple Fedez & Masini, competing with “Necessary evil”, leaps to the top of the charts of the main operators after remaining steadily in the top five in the combined audience and radio rankings.
Le updated quotes:
- 2,75 on Eurobet
- 2,30 on Better Lottomatica
- 2,30 on Planetwin365
- 2,30 on Goldbet
- 2,30 on Betflag
A clear technical fact: the market considers the duo the most solid candidate at the moment, with a narrow gap between the main operators.
Serena Brancale loses the top spot
For weeks indicated as the main favorite, Serena Brancale drops to second place in bookies' preferences as they await the new performance.
Current odds:
- 3,50 on Better Lottomatica
- 3,50 on Planetwin365
- 3,50 on Goldbet
- 3,50 on Betflag
- 3,00 on Eurobet
The decline is small but significant: the gap with the new favorites has narrowed and the market is signaling a more open equilibrium than in previous days.
Tommaso Paradiso is among the hot names
After entering the top 5 of the second evening, Thomas Paradise returns to the betting radar thanks to the song “The Romantics”.
Live odds:
- 21,00 on Eurobet
- 11,00 on Better Lottomatica
- 11,00 on Goldbet
- 11,00 on Planetwin365
- 11,00 on Betflag
The gap between 21,00 and 11,00 shows a still cautious assessment but with room for growth, especially in the event of a consolidation of televoting.
Arisa and Sal Da Vinci on the prowl
Also keep an eye out for two names that could benefit from the upcoming votes with all juries active:
- Arisa: odds 6,00
- Sal Da Vinci: odds 11,00
Both remain in the medium-high range of preferences, with room for improvement in the event of particularly strong performances.
How do votes affect quotas?
On the third evening they vote again Televoting (50%) e Radio Jury (50%).
The fourth evening, dedicated to the Cover, will see all the juries vote, but the result will not weigh on the overall count of the final.
This technical aspect is crucial for interpreting the fluctuations: the odds react to the partial rankings, but the market primarily takes into account the ability to withstand the combined impact of all the judging panels in the final.
Who can win Sanremo 2026 according to bookmakers?
In light of the updated live odds, the race today seems to be focused on:
- Fedez & Masini, current market leaders
- Serena Brancale, immediate pursuer
- Arisa, first credible alternative
Tommaso Paradiso and Sal Da Vinci remain outsiders with room for growth, but with even higher valuations.