Will Putin be arrested? What risks and what can happen now

Vladimir Putin
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La International Criminal Court (CPI) issued two international arrest warrants against the Russian president Vladimir Putin, accused of illegal deportation of Ukrainian children. It must be said, however, that it is the Russia is Ukraine not recognize the Tribunal, rendering the situation complex and with uncertain outcomes.

The context: The Rome Statute and the ICC

To understand the situation, it is necessary to analyze it Rome Statute, establishing the ICC. The Court has jurisdiction complementary to that of the States and it can only intervene if states are unable or unwilling to act to punish international crimes. Russia and the United States have never ratified the Statute, while Ukraine it encountered internal constitutional difficulties in completing the ratification process.

The reactions: Moscow denies any obligation, Kiev rejoices

Moscow she was quick to emphasize her position, stating that she have no obligation against the Rome Statute and not recognize the jurisdiction of the ICC. KievInstead, he defined the decision "historical” and the beginning of the end for Russia.

The consequences: The risk for Putin and the international scenario

Despite the Russia not recognize the ICC, Putin could face gods risks in case he visits one of the States who have ratified it Rome Statute, as he could be arrested and handed over to the Court. Given the international tensions caused by the aggression on Ukraine, such a scenario appears at the moment unlikely.

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Written by Andrew Navarro
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